CalSTRS
CalSTRS (California State Teachers' Retirement System) strategic target allocation
Where it stands today
Our calculation, 1984-02 – 2026-09
Growth of $10,000
Where it came from
CalSTRS calls itself the largest educator-only pension fund in the world, with about 417.7 billion dollars of investment assets at 30 September 2026. Its board publishes, on the investment portfolio page, a table with the current target, the allowed range and the actual weight for each strategic class. The targets listed on that page are: public equity 39%, fixed income 13%, real estate 15%, private equity 14%, risk mitigating strategies (RMS) 10%, inflation sensitive 7%, cash/liquidity 2%, collaborative strategies 0% and strategic overlay 0%. They sum to 100%. Ranges are plus or minus 8 points for public equity and plus or minus 5 points for the other classes (cash 0 to 5).
The policy history is told in CalSTRS's asset allocation assumptions document. In 1986 the strategic allocation was 70% equities and 30% stable assets; in 1997 the board reaffirmed 73/27; after the 2006 asset-liability study it moved to 80% equity and 20% stable. In 2009 an Inflation Sensitive class was added to improve diversification and reduce volatility, and in 2015 Risk Mitigating Strategies were added to reduce the chance of large declines in sharply negative markets. The 2019 asset-liability study continued the move to a more diversified portfolio, and the 2023 study raised private assets and raised fixed income to make room for direct lending (private credit).
In May 2023 the board adopted the new long-term mix. A trade-press summary says the stock portfolio fell by 4 points, fixed income rose by 2 points (with private debt), and private equity and inflation sensitive each rose by 1 point, with the aim of similar expected return and lower risk. That summary gives targets of 38% global equity and 14% fixed income, while the CalSTRS website now lists 39% and 13%; see uncertain.
Two of the strategic classes are not standard asset classes. RMS (target 10%) is governed by a policy revised in November 2024 whose sub-strategy targets are long-duration US Treasuries 35%, trend following 45%, global macro 15%, systematic risk premia 5% (ranges for each). The Treasury part is benchmarked to the Bloomberg US Treasury 20+ Year index and the rest are hedge-fund-style strategies meant to protect against equity downturns. Inflation Sensitive (target 7%) holds infrastructure, commodities, inflation-protected bonds, agriculture and timber, and credit; a June 2024 staff report put infrastructure at roughly 12.3 of 21.6 billion dollars of the class.
CalSTRS differs from CalPERS (which was already modelled) mainly through its much lower fixed-income share (13% against about 30% of CalPERS's 2021 policy), its 10% RMS sleeve, and its larger real-estate target (15%).
What is in it
| Public equity | 39% | range +/-8 |
| Fixed income | 13% | range +/-5 |
| Real estate | 15% | range +/-5 |
| Private equity | 14% | range +/-5 |
| Risk mitigating strategies | 10% | range +/-5 |
| Inflation sensitive | 7% | range +/-5 |
| Cash / liquidity | 2% | range 0-5 |
How we model it
| US large companies (S&P 500) | 23.4% |
| Real estate (REITs) | 19% |
| US small companies | 14% |
| US bond market (aggregate) | 13% |
| Developed markets outside the US | 10.9% |
| Cash (Treasury bills) | 8.5% |
| Emerging markets | 4.7% |
| Long-term government bonds (20+ y) | 3.5% |
| Inflation-protected bonds (TIPS) | 1.5% |
| Commodities | 1.5% |
For a euro investor
How to build it with European funds
| Part | Share | Example funds (ISIN) |
|---|---|---|
| US large companies (S&P 500) | 23.4% | iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc) IE00B5BMR087Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF (USD) Distributing IE00B3XXRP09 |
| Real estate (REITs) | 19% | iShares US Property Yield UCITS ETF IE00B1FZSF77iShares Developed Markets Property Yield UCITS ETF IE00B1FZS350 |
| US small companies | 14% | SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF IE00BJ38QD84iShares MSCI USA Small Cap ESG Enhanced CTB UCITS ETF USD (Acc) IE00B3VWM098 |
| US bond market (aggregate) (closest match) | 13% | iShares Core Global Aggregate Bond UCITS ETF EUR Hedged (Acc) IE00BDBRDM35iShares Core Global Aggregate Bond UCITS ETF USD (Dist) IE00B3F81409 |
| Developed markets outside the US (closest match) | 10.9% | iShares Core MSCI Europe UCITS ETF EUR (Acc) IE00B4K48X80iShares Core MSCI Japan IMI UCITS ETF IE00B4L5YX21 |
| Cash (Treasury bills) | 8.5% | Xtrackers II EUR Overnight Rate Swap UCITS ETF 1C LU0290358497iShares USD Treasury Bond 0-1yr UCITS ETF (Acc) IE00BGSF1X88 |
| Emerging markets | 4.7% | iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETF (Acc) IE00BKM4GZ66 |
| Long-term government bonds (20+ y) | 3.5% | iShares USD Treasury Bond 20+yr UCITS ETF USD (Dist) IE00BSKRJZ44 |
| Inflation-protected bonds (TIPS) | 1.5% | iShares USD TIPS UCITS ETF USD (Acc) IE00B1FZSC47 |
| Commodities | 1.5% | iShares Diversified Commodity Swap UCITS ETF IE00BDFL4P12 |
The idea
Funded-status oriented portfolio built around about 80% growth-oriented assets, with two diversifiers (RMS, inflation sensitive) added in 2015 and 2009 to reduce the chance of big drawdowns in negative environments.
How people buy it
Mix of internal and external management; public equity and fixed income largely internal, large private equity, real estate and infrastructure programs through partners ('collaborative model'). Retail approximation: global equity fund, aggregate bond fund, REIT fund, a long Treasury fund and a small trend-following fund.
Rebalancing as published
Actual weights are allowed to drift inside the published ranges (public equity +/-8, others +/-5); e.g. public equity was 42.75% against a 39% target at 30 September 2026.
Variants
- May 2023 trade-press version: global equity 38%, fixed income 14%, private equity 14%, inflation sensitive 7% (see uncertain).
- 2013 targets reported by trade press: private equity 13%, inflation sensitive 6%, fixed income 16%, global equity 51% (older policy, unverified).
Criticism
- Equity-like private assets and real estate cannot be bought in index form; results of the mapped series are not comparable with the fund's reported returns.
- RMS trend-following and macro strategies are only partly captured; the proxy is neutral cash.
- Actual public equity ran 3.75 points above target in September 2026.
Through the eras
| Era | Dates | Total | Per year | Worst drop | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Monday | 1987-08 – 1987-12 | −15.2 % | — | −20.3 % | −21.8 % |
| Savings-and-loan crisis and 1990 recession | 1990-07 – 1991-03 | +5.7 % | — | −12.0 % | +7.4 % |
| 1994 bond market massacre | 1994-02 – 1994-12 | −2.5 % | — | −4.2 % | −3.2 % |
| Asian and Russian financial crises | 1997-07 – 1998-10 | +5.2 % | +3.9 % | −13.7 % | +22.4 % |
| Dot-com bubble and crash | 2000-03 – 2002-10 | −7.3 % | −2.8 % | −12.3 % | −37.2 % |
| Recovery and housing boom | 2002-11 – 2007-09 | +115.7 % | +16.9 % | −5.2 % | +97.0 % |
| Global financial crisis | 2007-10 – 2009-03 | −36.9 % | −26.4 % | −41.9 % | −44.7 % |
| The decade after the crisis | 2009-04 – 2019-12 | +246.5 % | +12.3 % | −13.6 % | +411.2 % |
| Fourth-quarter 2018 sell-off | 2018-09 – 2018-12 | −10.3 % | — | −10.3 % | −14.4 % |
| Covid crash and stimulus boom | 2020-02 – 2021-12 | +32.6 % | +15.9 % | −16.4 % | +53.6 % |
| Inflation shock and rate hikes | 2022-01 – 2022-12 | −16.9 % | −16.9 % | −21.1 % | −19.9 % |
Calendar years
Any N-year period
| Any N-year period | Worst | 10 % worse than | Median | 10 % better than | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 y (501) | −35.8 % | −3.9 % | +11.6 % | +23.1 % | +50.5 % |
| 3 y (477) | −10.6 % | +2.5 % | +10.2 % | +15.8 % | +25.0 % |
| 5 y (453) | −1.7 % | +4.4 % | +9.0 % | +14.1 % | +19.4 % |
| 10 y (393) | +3.8 % | +6.5 % | +9.1 % | +11.9 % | +13.8 % |
| 15 y (333) | +5.6 % | +7.3 % | +8.7 % | +11.5 % | +13.3 % |
| 20 y (273) | +6.6 % | +7.6 % | +8.8 % | +11.0 % | +11.8 % |
| 30 y (153) | +7.9 % | +8.5 % | +9.1 % | +10.1 % | +10.8 % |
How it behaved in history
- 1986-2006. Equity share of the policy rose from 70% (1986) to 73% (1997) to 80% (2006 plan). WWW.CALSTRS.COM
- 2009. Inflation Sensitive class added in 2009 to improve diversification and reduce volatility. WWW.CALSTRS.COM
- 2015. Risk Mitigating Strategies added to limit declines in strongly negative investment periods; RMS policy first adopted 3 Feb 2016, latest revision 26 Nov 2024. calstrs.com
- 2023. Long-term mix cut stocks and raised fixed income (private debt), private equity and inflation sensitive. www.dakota.com
Published results (by others)
- CalSTRS net investment return fiscal years 2020-21, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 (FY2021; FY2024; FY2025; FY2026 (years end 30 June)): 27.2%; 8.4%; 8.5%; 13.9% www.ai-cio.com
- 5-year average return 7.0% and 30-year return 7.8% (as reported at FY2026) (to 30 June 2026): 7.0%; 7.8% www.ai-cio.com
What we could not verify
- Target discrepancy: Dakota (8 May 2023) lists global equity 38% / fixed income 14% for the May 2023 decision, but the CalSTRS site (30 Sept 2026) lists public equity 39% / fixed income 13% (both sum to 100%). I use the website because it is the primary and the more recent source. The official CalSTRS press release page (calstrs.com/board-adopts-new-long-term-asset-allocation) returned 404, and the Role of Strategic Classes PDF also did not open.
- Regional split of public equity and the split of inflation sensitive among infrastructure, commodities, TIPS, agriculture/timber and credit are our assumptions; the 57% infrastructure share comes from a search-result summary of a June 2024 staff report that I did not open.
- RMS sub-strategy targets are from the November 2024 policy (35/45/15/5); actual current sleeve weights may differ.
- Fiscal-year returns for the 2008-09 and 2021-22 years were not found.
- The CIO report (May 2026) gives actual weights as of 31 March 2026 but its chart labels did not extract as text, so the website table is used.
Sources
- www.calstrs.com
https://www.calstrs.com/investment-portfolio - calstrs.com
https://calstrs.com/files/f874d0564/RiskMitigatingStrategiesInvestmentPolicy11-2024.pdf - WWW.CALSTRS.COM
https://WWW.CALSTRS.COM/files/172f0026a/AssetAllocationAssumptions.pdf - www.dakota.com
https://www.dakota.com/fundraising-news/calstrs-reduces-public-equity-target - www.ai-cio.com
https://www.ai-cio.com/news/calstrs-earns-record-annual-return-of-27-2/ - www.ai-cio.com
https://www.ai-cio.com/?p=105986 - calstrs-pensionx-web.specialdistrict.org
https://calstrs-pensionx-web.specialdistrict.org/files/d85a1617f/INV+2026-05+-+Item+05+Pres+01.pdf - calstrs.com
https://calstrs.com/files/012c8cb09/semi062024public+-+IS.pdf
Calculated on historical data. Past results do not predict the future. Models before the 1990s use stand-ins for classes that had no index yet; fees, taxes and fund costs are not included. This is mathematics, not an investment recommendation.