Pick of the day: one most confident forecast
From all the day's matches in every sport choose the single outcome that looks most likely, and bet only on that.
The rule
Estimate the chance of every outcome on the day's list. Take the one with the highest chance, as long as the odds are not too short to be worth it.
Why people use it
Most betting losses come from betting too often. One pick a day forces a choice and keeps the record easy to follow.
Where it hurts
The most likely outcome is also the one the bookmaker prices lowest, and the margin is still in the price. A high hit rate at short odds can lose money.
How our bot runs it
One bot takes the most likely outcome of the day across all sports at odds of at least 1.25. Another takes up to five outcomes a day with a chance of at least 75% and odds from 1.20 to 1.50. Each stake is 0.5% of the account.
Live account
A virtual $100,000 account that follows this rule. Every trade is on the bot's page.
| Bot | Account | Return |
|---|---|---|
| Pick of the day | $100,130 | +0.13% |
| Strong picks of the day | $100,240 | +0.24% |